Tuesday, May 30, 2006

Housing Analyst Says the Heartland's the Next Winner

Is Indianapolis gearing up for a housing boom like California, Florida, Washington, D.C., New York City, and Boston have experienced in recent years? That remains to be seen, but this article provides some rational as to why we may be due for above-average price increases in the coming years.

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(May 30, 2006) -- A new statistical analysis of housing price cycles in 100 major metropolitan areas suggests that real estate action is shifting to areas that didn’t enjoy the recent housing boom.

Christopher L. Cagan, director of research and analytics for First American Real Estate Solutions, examined historical housing price movements and concluded that middle America markets like Columbus, Ohio; Indianapolis; Houston; San Antonio; Memphis, Tenn.; Atlanta; Cincinnati; Des Moines, Iowa; and Louisville, Ky., are due for above-average price increases and home building because of expanding employment bases and moderate housing prices.

Cagan also doesn’t believe what he calls the shooting stars of housing booms like most of California, Florida, Washington, D.C., New York City, or Boston are going to incinerate. He simply believes appreciation rates will dwindle to the low single digits or go flat for a while as incomes catch up.

His bottom line: Figure out where your community is in the cycle and adapt.

Source: Washington Post Writers Group, Kenneth R. Harney (05/28/06)
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17 Comments:

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Freddie Aguilar
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9:36 AM  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think that the best way to purchase a property from outside the country then you need to contact to a real estate professional who is local there. The local agents have a good idea of the market trends in that area and can help you get some good property.

7:49 AM  
Anonymous Richard Stabile Bergen County Real Estate said...

As you look around the country, all the areas that have dropped heavily in price have pick up in volume the past few months. Areas such as Florida, Arizona, Southern California and Nevada, are the areas that didn't go up as much and have not come down as much are not seeing the same higher volume. The combination of price, interest rates and now mortgage availability seem to be making the difference.
In many parts of the country the market volume has picked up. In Florida which is one of the hardest hit, volume is now up for 5 months in some areas. The same goes for Southern California, Nevada and many other areas. Bergen County has not been hit as hard as these areas and did not go up as much as they did. Bergen was lucky not to be that speculative of an area. The bottom has been forming in my opinion, although it is taking time, there is a lot of money coming back into the market from the federal government in many forms. It will really start to be felt in the next month or so.

5:47 PM  
Anonymous The Gardens Real Estate said...

Any updates?


Monique

9:22 AM  
Anonymous Houston real estate said...

In many parts of the market volume of a country is in recovery. Florida is one of the worst, the number is now five months in some areas.

10:53 AM  
Anonymous www.finddaytonohiohomes.com said...

I hope thats true! Things seem to be turning around here in Dayton.

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I read a new point in this blog post that real estate is shifting to areas that didn't enjoy recent housing boom.

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